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AI Industry Map / Data and models / Frontier model labs
Data and models

Frontier model labs

The few companies that train the largest models and sell them through apps and APIs.

How big
Anthropic and OpenAI together run at roughly $70B a year (estimate)
Growth
Anthropic's revenue rose about 4.8 times in four months (estimate).
On the map
15 companies, 5 money flows, 3 openings

Who is making money

The companies earning or raising real money in this part of AI. Suppliers are marked: they sell to the builders rather than to end users.

OpenAI

ChatGPT and its API

About $13B revenue in 2025, against about $34B of costs (reported)

Open profile
Anthropic

Claude and Claude Code. Strongest with businesses and coders

Annualised revenue run rate above $65B at the end of July 2026, reported from an investor update (Aug 2026)

Open profile
Google
GOOGL

Builds the Gemini models through Google DeepMind and sells them through Search, Cloud and the Gemini app.

25% of AI chip supply (Epoch AI)

Open profile
Microsoft
MSFT

Owns about 27 percent of OpenAI and sells Azure cloud and Copilot tools that run on its models.

20M+ users (2025)

Open profile
Meta
META

Runs Meta Superintelligence Labs and builds its Muse models, with the Llama line now scaled back.

Sales more than tripled (H1 2025)

Open profile
Amazon
AMZN Supplier

Invests in Anthropic and sells it cloud compute through AWS.

5% of AI chip supply (Epoch AI)

Open profile
Mistral AI

European lab

About $14B valuation (Sep 2025)

Open profile
Thinking Machines Lab

ex-OpenAI founders

Annualised run rate above $100M, self-reported and unaudited

Open profile
Reflection AI

Lab that aims to build frontier open-weight models in the US, backed by Nvidia.

$8B after a $2B round led by Nvidia in October 2025. Talks at $25B reported in 2026

Open profile
DeepSeek

Chinese research lab that releases its strongest models as open weights.

About 475M yuan (about $70.7M) in the first seven months of 2026 (The Information, reported)

Open profile
MiniMax

Chinese lab that makes chat, voice and video models, with most app revenue from overseas subscriptions.

About $30.5M in 2024 (filings, reported). About $53.4M in the nine months to September 2025 (reported)

Open profile
Moonshot AI

Chinese lab behind the Kimi chatbot and the Kimi open models.

Annual recurring revenue above $200M in April 2026 (reported)

Open profile
xAI

Builds the Grok models and the X platform, and is now part of SpaceX.

About $500M annualised run rate in 2026 (reported)

Open profile
Zhipu AI

Chinese lab that makes the GLM models, mostly sold to enterprises, and is now listed in Hong Kong.

About $44.4M in 2024 (filings, reported)

Open profile
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

Research lab founded by Ilya Sutskever that aims to build safe superhuman AI and has no public product yet.

No revenue reported. No model, API or product released as of July 2026

Open profile

Where the money flows

Companies, developers and consumers pay the labs. The labs pay clouds, chip makers and data companies, mostly with investors' money.

  • AmazonpaysAnthropic$5B now, up to $25B in total tied to milestones (April 2026)

    Invested in Anthropic and committed compute through AWS

    pasqualepillitteri.it
  • GooglepaysAnthropicUp to $40B, with $10B now at a $350B valuation (April 2026)

    Invests in Anthropic and supplies TPU compute

    wam.ae
  • MicrosoftpaysOpenAI$13B total funding commitment (Microsoft 10-Q, as reported)

    Holds about 27 percent of OpenAI on an as-converted basis

    om.co
  • OpenAIpaysMicrosoft$250B Azure commitment from the October 2025 deal. Payouts capped in April 2026 (reported total of $38B)

    Buys Azure cloud services under an agreed commitment, and pays a revenue share

    om.co
  • NvidiapaysThinking Machines LabAbout $2.5B in reported talks (September 2026, not closed)

    Reported to be in talks to invest in the lab

    letsdatascience.com

The openings

Gaps still open in this area, from ones a small business could take to ones only giants can play.

  • Small business Build on the labs as a reseller, integrator or agent builder rather than competing
  • Startup money A regional or sovereign lab (local language, data kept in-country)
  • Giants only A new frontier lab
The sceptic's view

Reported revenue may include resellers' spend, the labs still burn huge sums, and valuations depend on the funding continuing.

Sources: pinggy.io, noqta.tn, cryptobriefing.com

The map updates three times a week.

241 companies across 25 areas, 62 money flows and 89 openings so far. New research lands every Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday.

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